The difficulty of predicting the future
Why 2020 is not an outlier
On April 11, 2001, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld sent a memo to President George W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney that might never have seen the light of day but for its timing.
“I ran across this piece on the difficulty of predicting the future,” wrote Rumsfeld. “I thought you might find it interesting”. The “piece”…